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The collection “Les Cahiers de l’Économie” aims to present work carried out at IFP Energies nouvelles and IFP School dealing with economics, finance or energy transition management .
Short-term electricity price forecasting models comparative analysis: Machine Learning vs. Econometrics
N° 143 – May 2021
Antoine Ferre, Guillaume de Certaines, Jérôme Cazelles, Tancrède Cohet, Arash Farnoosh, Frédéric Lantz
This paper gives an overview of several models applied to forecast the day-ahead prices of the German electricity market between 2014 and 2015 using hourly wind and solar productions as well as load.
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Estimating discrete choice experiments: theoretical fundamentals
N°142 – April 2021
Benoît Chèze, Charles Collet, and Anthony Paris
This working paper overviews theoretical foundations and estimators derived from econometric models used to analyze stated choices proposed in Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) surveys.
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Cinquième période à venir : les Certificats d’Economies d’Energie, catalyseurs du couple Reprise / Transition Ecologique ?
N°141 - March 2021 [ STUDY & SYNTHESIS ]
Maxime Schenckery, Jacques Millery
Les travaux sur la forme que devra prendre la 5ème période de CEE ont continué, suscitant bien des débats, et aboutissant à une première série de propositions rendue publique début février 2021.
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Trajectory Based Robust Optimization Applied to the Case of Electricity Facilities Investment with Significant Penetration of Renewables
N°140 – February 2021
Pierre Cayet, Arash Farnoosh
As large scale penetration of renewables into electric systems requires increasing flexibility from dispatchable production units, the electricity mix must be designed in order to address brutal variations of residual demand. Inspired from the philosophy of Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), we propose a trajectory ambiguity set including residual demand trajectories verifying both support and variability criterion using ambiguous quantile information.
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Quantifying virtual water scarcity risk transfers of energy system in China
N°139 – January 2021
Xuebing Yao, Xu Tang, Arash Farnoosh, Cuiyang Feng
Using multi-regional input-output analysis, this study estimates the virtual flows ad virtual water scarcity risk transfers driven by interprovincial energy consumption in China. Results could provide reference value for policymakers to develop new energy strategies and manage water resources sustainably.
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The form and content may still be provisional, in particular to encourage an exchange of views on the subjects covered.
The opinions expressed in this collection are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of IFP Energies nouvelles or IFP School. Neither these institutions nor the authors accept any liability for loss or damage incurred as a result of the use of or reliance on the content of these publications. For any information on the content, please contact the author directly.